AI translation from YT vid: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mLmFtkabDTk
Trump DANCED OUT on Ukraine: THE PEAK OF PEACE FORCES! The withdrawal of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is ONLY THE BEGINNING! – Voskresensky
Note: That’s a Clickbait Title. See the bottom of this post for summary.
English Translation:
shelest with yuri voskresensky
I welcome you, dear friends, esteemed guests, and subscribers of my channel. A big thank you to everyone for following the new episodes. Yuri Voskresensky, an expert from Belarus, is on the line right now. Yuri, I welcome you.
Hello, Alexander. Hello, dear viewers and listeners.
Friends, a big thank you to everyone for waiting for our meeting and this analysis because, you know, if you think about it, we are currently in some kind of race, some kind of steeplechase, so to speak. Abu Dhabi, negotiations. And then, here you go, as if on cue, shelling of Kyiv and the Kyiv region last night. And it all clearly leads to… And Kharkiv, of course, also suffered a major strike.
And it all clearly points us to the fact that, in principle, the second day in Abu Dhabi could be “Diplomarch” [a play on words: “diplomacy” + “march”]. Because, well, look, we are here at negotiations, and then such shellings occur. And the picture emerges that someone is managing this.
I want to start with this. Who is managing this process now, if we agree that everything is moving towards the end of the war?
Well, first I would like to make a clarification regarding our previous broadcast. Our vigilant commentators corrected me about that poem I cited, that it was not by Varlamov but by Galich. Well, I just read, now I re-read his two Lamovs. Here, and, of course, the poem “Brakum” is by Galich. That is, a huge thank you to our commentators.
Next, in the comments, people often ask about the national composition, well, of your speakers, particularly me. Well, in some kind of, well, national breakdown. Well, I also want to say within the framework of this answer that if we take genetics, I have 50% Belarusian blood, 40% Russian, and 10% Ukrainian. That is, I am the very son of our three peoples. The only state of civilization.
Regarding who is managing, you just said, Alexander, I just finished reading another interesting book. Here, I recommend it to you and the viewers: who actually manages all the events happening on planet Earth. From this, it’s understandable, obvious, that we are witnessing some broader plan. And what causes a certain discomfort is that this plan is not entirely clear to everyone. Although we already saw its outline in the speech of the US President in Davos.
And when the plan is not entirely clear, it’s not entirely possible to make accurate forecasts, including regarding a peaceful settlement. Because if those who manage our planet and place pieces on the chessboard, if they don’t want peace, then there won’t be peace. No one will ask our peoples, who actually need peace—both Russians, and Ukrainians, and Belarusians, all our commentators, all our experts—no one will ask us.
And considering the experience, primarily of British intelligence, you know how easily any negotiations can be derailed. This is very important to understand for any forecasts.
It seems to me that these plans could still be, at the very least, blocked if there were the will of the political class. That is, figuratively speaking, Zelensky is a very stubborn person. If he were to be just as stubborn not in continuing the war, but in concluding peace, then maybe the result would be different, even though he is not a sovereign politician and carries out the will of his, primarily, British allies.
Therefore, it is difficult to predict any result from these negotiations in Abu Dhabi. Overall, I can say for sure that the war will continue. We discussed this before. For 2026, all budgets are drafted, weapons continue to flow. That is, there is no fundamental turning point with the breaking of the backbone of the Ukrainian army. It doesn’t exist, despite the fact that the advance of the Russian military, even in these incredible, winter, cold conditions, is obvious, but this is not a strategic turning point. This is called tactical or operational initiative.
Accordingly, even in this mode, even without funding from the United States of America, the Ukrainian army can hold out, at least through 2026. Therefore, it seems to me there will be no turn towards peace.
However, if there are sensible people at the negotiations in Abu Dhabi, then perhaps a deal could be reached, even a small one, within the framework of preparing for some kind of peace track, regarding an energy truce, something we, you, and our experts have been talking about for a year.
But why would you [Ukraine] strike Russian military command and infrastructure if you will immediately have five to ten times more of your own infrastructure struck? That is why I hope that some kind of energy truce would still be beneficial. And, by the way, for the Russian side too, and for the Ukrainian.
And maybe this would be a good example that would lead to discussing other steps. But at least we need to start with an energy truce. To do this, the Kyiv puppet regime simply needs to stop launching these aircraft-type unmanned aerial vehicles on a daily basis. I am sure that in response, the Russian Federation will also stop striking Ukraine’s energy and gas infrastructure.
Then what is the point of these attacks that were on Ukraine? Now another 6,000 houses are without electricity. Loud statements from the Center for Countering Disinformation saying, look, Kyiv is being cut off energetically. That is, the statement, look, is quite loud. Well, imagine, Kyiv is cut off. Cut off, not cut off. Probably more no than yes, but still.
Well, okay, an energy-cut-off Kyiv is also some kind of strategy and goal of the Russian side. I’m asking this precisely because, well, as if Abu Dhabi began, because you are indeed right. The key events of the week are Davos, Greenland, Trump’s speech, even Zelensky spoke. And now these, let’s say, responses from Europe to these, let’s say, attacks from Zelensky have started. This is also all very interesting geopolitically, we’ll talk about it now.
But then the strategy is unclear, because, if conditionally, just yesterday the main topic about Abu Dhabi, well, as presented by the Ukrainian side, was the Donbas, well, the withdrawal of troops from the Donbas. Right? And now it’s an energy truce. That is, we then don’t quite understand the strategy and plans, precisely of the Russian side. If they cut off, plunge into darkness, then right in Abu Dhabi they will gather and say, oh, let’s not? Well, let’s not. Then what will we do? Then how and by what means will the goals of the Russian side be achieved, well, further? And accordingly, yes, what will the Ukrainian side do next if the war doesn’t stop?
Look, first, every action has its consequences. Some time ago, the Ukrainian puppet regime congratulated the President of the Russian Federation on his anniversary, his 70th birthday. And, well, carried out a terrorist act on the Crimean Bridge, resulting in the deaths of innocent people. Therefore, tomorrow we will celebrate a big holiday, the birthday of the Supreme Leader of Ukraine. No one has canceled gifts. That’s first.
Second. What happened today, when dozens of cruise ballistic missiles with UAV support continued to implement the goals of the Special Military Operation, must be viewed as coercion to peace. It’s an attempt at a catalyst. If someone says, well this, on the contrary, might cause some kind of, as you correctly noted, attempt at “Diplomarch” from the Ukrainian delegation, and a breakdown of negotiations.
You know, that’s the Ukrainian delegation’s problem. The fact is that for three years now—three years, already the fourth, four years, yes, it will be in February—but for three years overall, the Russian side has behaved exceptionally peace-loving from the point of view of conducting military operations. From the military’s point of view, despite the fact that bloggers, volunteers, and Russian journalists in every post write, listen, when will we fight like in Gaza, when? And now this “when” has arrived. It seems to me this will be a catalyst, strange as it may sound, for peace negotiations.
You see, the thing is, one can always answer such bloggers, “how much is there in Gaza?” Logical, right? That is, the fifth piece of land and, let’s say, Tsahal, which bombs all this, you understand, it all flies to one point. Ukraine is still a big country, and I still, as it were, appeal to, clarify the previous question, about the Russian side’s strategy.
That is, look, you are now emphasizing an energy truce. But they tell us that the issue of the Donbas will be resolved, the withdrawal of troops from the Donbas. Therefore, finishing the topic about Abu Dhabi, it’s still interesting, these three-party negotiations now, they are already sitting together with the Americans. And there are interesting faces there, there’s Witkow on the Ukrainian side, Kushner on the Russian side, let’s say, these contacts. This all preceded all this, let’s say, the meeting in the Kremlin. And an interesting meeting, where besides Kushner and Witkow, they brought another Greenbaum, introduced him to Putin. That is, there’s some completely other agreement regarding these negotiations.
So, let’s put it this way. About strategy. Yes, about Russia’s strategy. And now many are asking the question. Wait, well okay, Ukraine withdraws and leaves the entire Donetsk region, but they are still discussing. Wait, 700-800 thousand troops. Okay, but what to maintain them with? And this issue is unresolved. Mobilization continues as it was. Borders remain closed as they were. This pumping up against everything Russian, the Russian language. They persecute Lviv dancers for Swan Lake because they collect money in Europe for Tchaikovsky. And other things. That is, monuments, the church, and so on. That is, the issue is not being resolved.
And it turns out that we have a four-year war for conditionally the Donbas. Was it even worth starting then? Was it worth getting out of bed, conditionally, for this goal? You see, the thing is, in modern Russian political-diplomatic practice, it is not customary to use the tools of megaphone diplomacy. And who said the war is only for the Donbas? Who said that the Donbas is the main goal?
Look, now in Abu Dhabi, the Russian side is in a Win-Win situation. And the Ukrainian side is in a Lose-Lose situation. That is, there is no good option for the Ukrainian side and all options are good for the Russian side. For example, the Ukrainian side does not propose such a sound, wonderful idea as an energy truce. Fine, we continue the war. We continue to take out the gas, oil, energy infrastructure. This will lead to severe disruptions in fuel, in fuel supplies. This will lead to a collapse of the civilian population. Within this collapse, it will be much easier to embed agents for direct action operations. If the terrorist Budanov and the terrorist Malyuk thought that the Russian side forgot about their hands, from which blood drips, they are mistaken. We are absolutely confident that we remember all the generals killed by terrorist acts. Primarily General Kirillov, General Maskalik, and General Sarvarov.
The Ukrainian side has crossed a red line in organizing terrorist acts. One thing is when military personnel die on the front line within the framework of hostilities. Another thing is a direct action operation. As a result of such chaos, it will be very convenient to carry out these direct action operations.
If we consider the second option of signing an energy truce, and especially considering the issue of withdrawal from the Donbas, here Russia also wins. Even simply, if Ukrainian troops leave the Donbas, then Zelensky will be politically defeated. Simply, these nationalist forces will take him out. If not now, then in the spring, in the summer, when it warms up, they will simply carry him out on pitchforks, he understands this perfectly.
Now look further. Since Russia is not saying everything, what was in Anchorage? The withdrawal of Ukraine, its troops from the Donbas, from the occupied Donbas, because this is the territory of the Russian Federation, and Belarus views this territory precisely as such.
Wait, stop, in the sense of the Russian Federation? I mean, this territory, I mean according to the constitution. No, wait, then we have double standards. According to Russia’s constitution, Kherson is also the territory of the Russian Federation, but no one talks about it differently, and everyone says, well, we stand where we stand, but here we must do this.
Look, look, addition, Alexander, this is what I’m leading to. This is the prelude to holding elections in Ukraine, elections and a referendum. That is, only in this case can Russia suspend hostilities for some time, for 30-60 days, so that the Ukrainian side can hold elections, and we can then continue, well, discuss how we will live further, considering that Zaporizhzhia and Kherson are also territory, according to current constitutional realities of the Russian Federation, they are the territory of the Russian Federation. No one will give away Zaporizhzhia or Kherson, but the Ukrainian side simply needs legitimacy. Legitimacy is needed, we’re spelling it out, it is acquired only as a result of elections. Elections are held only as a result of the cancellation of martial law. Martial law can be canceled when hostilities cease. The Russian side is ready to temporarily—temporarily—cease hostilities in the case of the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the Donbas.
Do you understand the whole picture now, how it all adds up? In order for Zelensky or some other political force to obtain this legitimacy, and for us to then continue, how we will implement, fulfill, and approach a common denominator. That’s what we’re talking about.
That is, no one, if anyone thinks that Ukrainian, well, military personnel leave the Donbas, and that’s it, peace is signed? No. We have the goals of the Special Military Operation, and even from the point of view of the national security of the Republic of Belarus, what’s the use if the Donbas is in the Russian Federation, but in Kyiv sits a puppet misanthropic regime that gets a respite? No use at all. We, excuse me, have the goals of demilitarization and denazification. And we will achieve, together with the Russian Federation, well, the fulfillment of these goals. That’s all, that’s all the math.
Ukraine needs elections. On this, Trump, if you remember, a year ago spoke, he called Zelensky a dictator. That’s all. The Americans, through their political developers, asked for the key to this puzzle. And the Russian side provided the key. Withdraw from the Donbas, then, well, we establish a silence regime. Then you hold elections and we continue further.
The entire year 2026 will pass under the sign of war. There will be no global peaceful truce. But such a tactical one is possible. That’s what’s happening. Understand?
Well, in Davos, Zelensky mentioned Belarus. He says… Thank you. He says, are you Europeans even in your right mind? The “Oreshnik” [a Russian missile system] is already in Belarus looking and aiming at every country. This is because the people lost in 2020.
What’s interesting is that now, little by little, they are starting to respond to this speech by Zelensky. Ursula [von der Leyen], Roberta [Metsola]. Well, there, she juggled numbers. 192 billion under the common program. A bunch of other programs. That is, some journalists are noting. They say, wait, but this is not gratitude from Zelensky. And no one can understand the motive. Why did he lash out at Europe like that?
With Iran it’s the same story. A very interesting, let’s say, discussion, indirect though, but still Zelensky’s. He talks there… About the regime, about the situation in Iran. Dictators. In general, the Minister of Strange Affairs is in shock. As if criticizing Zelensky. The Minister of Strange Affairs of Iran answers the Minister of Strange Affairs of Ukraine. There he quotes a verse from the Quran about truth, although what truth. Well, in general, about Belarus. He says, “Oreshnik” is looking. And in 2020, if the people had won, this wouldn’t have happened. But as it is, “Oreshnik” threatens.
It’s interesting that the topic of Belarus is fundamentally important now. Because it’s not in Zelensky’s Peace Council. It’s not in his Peace Council because Russia and Belarus are there. And he says it directly, we are at war. Maybe after the war, but in general, as if we… Enemy Belarus, and also Putin. They are so directly striving into this Peace Council. Well, and so, friends, globalists. Merz says, I’ll go first. And then says, no, no, no, no, I won’t go. Because, you know, Britain probably refused. Or other countries.
How do you assess this geopolitical story with the Peace Council? Well, first, the billion. Does it exist or not? Lukashenko says no. There, Putin says, well, take it from the frozen assets. Second, in reality, what does this Peace Council change in understanding the attention to the Ukrainian outcomes of the war. Ukrainian. Because this Peace Council was created for Gaza. There Kushner showed slides about, look, how we will rebuild all these square meters of Gaza and some paradise on Earth will be there. But everyone still understands that the Peace Council is also involved in the settlement of the Russian-Ukrainian confrontation.
Well, let’s start with the first, Zelensky’s speech regarding Belarus. In Belarus, it was perceived extremely negatively. Because we perfectly understood that in 2020, if there had been an attempt at a color revolution coup, then we would have been first. We would have been first, not Ukraine. Who would have been thrown into the fire of war, the fire of artificial confrontation with the Russian Federation. Everyone understands this now. And despite the fact that, yes, under the influence of emotions, people did indeed take to the streets. For the first time, this protest went beyond such an opposition ghetto. Yes, that is because they always came out. But those who came out and supported the opposition were no more than 10%. For the first time, circumstances developed such that they went beyond this opposition ghetto. But thank God, including thanks to the tough position of the President of Belarus, who did not flee to Rostov, and the Belarusian security forces, the country was saved. Some suffered, of course, some suffered accidentally, that always happens. But overall, now the unified political consensus in Belarus is that, thank God, we did not get drawn into a confrontation with Russia, and in 2020 the state held out. Thereby ensuring the sovereignty and independence of the Republic of Belarus.
Therefore, this biting of Belarus by Zelensky is not the first time. He simply needed it, you know, for some additional argumentation. That is, he listed Iran, Hungary, Belarus, and the “Oreshnik.” Although even if we take tactical characteristics, Alexander, well the “Oreshnik,” well what difference does it make? Well, if it were stationed 200-300 kilometers to the east, in Smolensk. But it flies up to 10,000 kilometers, you understand? Here. Well, 5,000 for sure. Well, what difference does it make? It flies all through Europe. That is, this is not some fundamental point from the point of view of a threat to European security. This is a fundamental point for protecting Belarusian national security. That is, here we have tactical nuclear weapons, here we have the “Oreshnik.” And it doesn’t matter what anyone says, well the Kremlin will make the decision. Well, how to strike? How do you know? Probably, if such weapons are deployed, probably the Kremlin and Minsk have long ago agreed on all algorithms. And on all procedures for the use of this “Oreshnik.” And surely the crossing of the state border of Belarus is considered such a red line.
Therefore, regarding Zelensky’s attacks on Belarus, this is, first, not nice. Second, it is perceived extremely negatively by us. And, third, perhaps some pain speaks in him, that he did not keep his country from war. And we kept ours. And now we move on to your second question. And not just kept. And now together with Daddy [Trump], with Washington, we will form a new international architecture. Because, when they talk about Gaza, well people, well you read the charter. There, they don’t even remember Gaza anymore. The charter of the Peace Council. This is an influential international organization that in perspective could replace the UN. The UN, incapable of anything. And the fact that the President of Belarus and we, Belarusians, in his person, received one of the first invitations. Naturally, President Lukashenko, as a brilliant politician, immediately grabbed this very straw. One of the first signed, in a live broadcast, in each “Week of Peace.” Why?
Well, look, to be honest, for me this remains a mystery. Yes. Here look, that is, a completely unclear situation. Some countries now, there Spain, for example, yes, the Prime Minister of Spain, says, no, no, no, guys, this contradicts the UN. We won’t, there Merz, I already said, above, yes, moved away from the topic. Well, Britain is clear there, yes, and all this against the backdrop of also Greenland, all these, let’s say, moments. But Lukashenko is almost the only one who, in front of cameras, as if, brought a barely existing, unclear, yes, project, the Peace Council, into his legislation, by his order, that all, as if, laws inside Belarus will be coordinated or how, well, in general, yes, well, not that decisions of the Peace Council are above, but they will be taken into account, decisions of the Peace Council in internal legislation.
Here, you understand, here, as if, what they try to do in the press, they try to say that, there, look, Sanchez didn’t go, there, the Prime Minister of Belgium didn’t go, Macron there, there, Merz recalled. That is, personalities, personalities, that is, but here he invited Putin, and here also, no, guys, this is about countries, this is not about specific leaders.
Look, we, in a live broadcast, the president signed all documents on joining the Peace Council. In our country, by constitution, national law takes precedence, not international law. This does not mean we will carry out its decisions. But the fact is that in that modern architecture, well, which has effectively collapsed, yes, that is, one can say that legally, and in fact it collapsed even earlier, well, you know, modern, well, illegal dismemberment of Yugoslavia and recognition of Kosovo’s independence. We, by the way, said then that this is Pandora’s box. For the first time since 1945, the alienation of someone else’s, Serbian territory at that time, under international law, was revised. You are doing this in vain, but the West went for this unprecedented act. And in fact, the Yalta-Potsdam system was in a state of decline, it was collapsing. And already legally, Trump put the final point with the signing of this Peace Council.
Therefore, if a new system is being formed, why shouldn’t we participate? This does not mean we will kiss Daddy’s boots, like they kissed in Davos, you understand? After all, Lukashenko, Putin, well, other politicians who were invited to the Peace Council, they conduct normal discussions. Well, for example, remember, as soon as the US conducted an unprecedented operation, violating all norms of international law in Venezuela, Lukashenko immediately in his official channel, in big letters, wrote that I condemn this act of seizing the president of an independent state. The same regarding the Iranian venture, when the US tried, well, to add gasoline to the canister, to the fire, to stir up the situation, Lukashenko also, and our Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated, we categorically condemn these actions.
But Trump’s good ideas, Trump’s good ideas, why not support them? That’s what politics is, you understand?
And what’s good? Wait, let’s think, what’s good? Well, it’s good that he tramples like an elephant in a china shop over all his allies, accordingly, weakening them. Good that he’s taking Greenland for himself. This is a boomerang, especially the highest pilotage in that he’s taking Greenland from a pathetic country called Denmark, which was the first and most, if you take the specific weight, sponsored the Ukrainian Nazi regime. It, Denmark, even transferred all its planes to the Ukrainian Nazis. So you get in return, well, an elephant in a china shop.
Good that all Europeans, it’s not just us, it’s European journalists, bloggers, despite the total censorship there, podcast hosts. They watch what is happening in Davos, and not all are in shock. Remember the words of Gavin Newsom, the Governor of California. He says, I, when I watched the meeting in Davos and all the subsequent speeches, I was horrified at how degraded the world leaders have become. And, well, Gavin Newsom said that they might as well buy kneepads, can you imagine? This is the person who will likely be nominated, well, as a single candidate from the Democratic Party of the USA. He says, they need to buy kneepads, they have turned into political cuckolds, this is not him saying this anymore, this is part I’m adding. You understand, everyone laughs at them, Trump comes, humiliates, pours water, tramples, they stand up, applaud. Zelensky comes, humiliates, tramples, he is your dependent, you all sponsor him. But even from the point of view of some political correctness, it is inadmissible to allow him to speak to you like that, but they stand up and clap. Comes, well, the Prime Minister of Canada speaks, says the opposite of, well, what Trump says, they stand up in ovation. So you are complete degenerates, therefore this arrival of Trump, what’s good about it, it completely destroyed this dominance of the West, it mixed up all their cards. He should be thanked separately for destroying the US-led world order, this is a very big deal for world progress in general.
Well, and that, well, Americans are climbing into regions that from our point of view it is not expedient to go and climb into, for example, Iran or the sphere of influence of the Russian Federation, near the borders, Central Asia, well we will say this to Daddy’s face right at the Peace Council. You understand, Alexander, why do we need all these international organizations? Here look, they deprive our athletes of performing under their flag. Here we take the Belarusian-Russian agenda, they, well, impose sanctions constantly. 30 thousand restriction sanctions introduced against Russia, 1,700 sanctions against Belarus. They invite some incomprehensible freaks, saying that this is the government of Belarus to a meeting. Why do we need such a system and such organizations?
We’d rather sit, well, in another structure, from which a very good replacement for the United Nations could emerge. And it’s the highest pilotage that Belarus, let’s say, a small country, small within the planet and Earth, was given a seat to sit as equals, for example, with Russia and Turkey.
Now, regarding money, Lukashenko said an absolutely correct thing. No, there is no billion for those who do not want to be a permanent member. Understand? That’s all. That is, sit for free for three years, then there will be either rotation or if you prove yourself, maybe active, this will be decided by the chairman of the council, who has already elected himself. There was no election, true, but there is a chairman. And he will decide who will be free, who will be with a discount, or maybe they’ll give a jar of jam, an order will be given, and then you can, well, negotiate with a discount. Understand? Funny as it may sound, this is now such real politics, and it’s not a fact that it will change after Trump leaves. Not a fact, because a very powerful team of managers has formed around Trump.
Here, and you understand, well, therefore this billion is for those who want to be a permanent member. Belarus will not give any billion. We have enough… Putin will give. Putin gave for himself, will give for us too. Look at how he performed political judo, yes, a move. This is also highest pilotage. So take, yes. There, how much do we have? Five billion USD frozen. Take, take for Belarus. I think Alexander Grigoryevich [Lukashenko] will agree with him.
Therefore, this is a wonderful formation of a new world architecture. And, well, wonderful trampling on the remnants of, well, some reason of European politicians. They are simply laughed at now… Well, only the lazy don’t laugh. What’s left of Europe is not even the backyard. It’s not even the backyard of the world. They have completely destroyed themselves as some kind of subject of world politics.
Well, The Wall Street Journal, Boyan Panchevski, writes. “Zelensky is losing touch with reality. His attacks on Europe are perceived as deep ingratitude at a time when the Ukrainian state literally exists on European money. Meanwhile, a criminal investigation of large-scale corruption has touched Zelensky’s inner circle, whose representatives were forced to resign or leave the country. According to investigators and Western intelligence agencies, about a third of each major transaction with donor funds is embezzled. The situation inside the country is terrible. Due to Russian airstrikes, families are freezing in the dark, but attacks on Europe will not help him.” Well, that’s the opinion, yes, of The Wall Street Journal.
Look, I’m just very interested here in view of the situation we are observing now. Why? What’s the plan? What’s Zelensky’s strategy to behave exactly like this? If there is no plan, but I don’t believe that, because the situation is really critical. In Ukraine, besides, of course, the cold, disruptions, many noticed how, like from some machine-gun burst, criminal cases are being filed. I can’t say that someone is sitting there, but nevertheless, problems are starting. Border guards, some deputies, like queues, anti-corruption bodies are shooting. And this doesn’t only concern these big cases, like Tymoshenko and others. No, there are smaller cases, but many of them. And now there is a feeling that they’ve stirred up a hornet’s nest. This always happens, for example, they stole on cigarettes, right? And then they come and say, you’re stealing, wow. So this is what, routine? This is what he sits for, well, mainly, right, for example. Well, this is theoretically, yes, here, if you approach this or that question.
Moreover, they find some old cases, in short, they’ve stirred up this anthill in Ukraine regarding various kinds of corruption. How do you think, how right is Orban, yes, that… Well, he, as he said, I will not allow, Hungary will not let Ukraine into the EU for another hundred years, and lays out, rolls out a plan, yes, of Europe for Ukraine, because we will take Ukraine into Europe by 2027, but somehow on a probationary basis, there 800 billion these like, well, like some super prize, that is, you will go for all conditions, you will have incomplete membership in incomplete Europe, you will have 800 billion, well, some perks, that is some, not just a stick, but also a carrot.
But surely they won’t forget about this theft? They will definitely remember this theft. The power that the Ukrainian people will endow with legitimacy, I am sure of this, that sooner or later all this money that they stole from the country’s budget, in this happiness will bring to these political class of these worthless people who now sit in the Rada, in the government of Ukraine. By the way, note the scale, the scale of theft overall. Yanukovych with his ostriches didn’t even stand nearby, that is, take anyone, any, well, big shot, from the TCC [Territorial Recruitment Center], a doctor with a commission, listen, all nightstands, sofas, mattresses, all in dollars.
Therefore, the fact that Europe is not so actively paying attention to this now, you understand, they understand that if we also start cutting this branch from our side, then generally we will, well simply the Ukrainian regime will go. When the Ukrainian regime goes and European voters start asking questions, what was that, why did you give money?
Therefore, it is now important for Europe to make sure that the Ukrainian regime lasts as long as possible, so that later they can somehow deal with all this corruption component. But will they deal with it? That’s for sure, when the war is over, let it be in 5, in 10 years, I am sure that including the Ukrainian authorities will deal with all the stolen resources. And this, you know, Alexander, money is especially hard to hide, right? Well, okay, you transferred it to some crypto exchange, right? Here, some Mindich, conditional, yes, or Zelensky’s accomplices, here his godfathers, some matchmakers, there are already so many varieties of these green thieves that I’m confused in them. Listen, well, they are taken under a Red Notice from Interpol, put in a cell and told, according to our information you stole 300 million dollars from Ukraine. Until you return it, you won’t get out. That’s all, this is the Belarusian method, which put an end to corruption in the early 2000s. Here, and those who even continued, well, using their official position to obtain such benefits, they still later gave back 2-3 times more than they stole for freedom, you understand?
Therefore, it is very important that these facts at this stage are documented, that they are documented. Here, and I watch the social networks of some obsessed Ukrainian activists, yes, all these nationalists, here, well, and they have already started writing in their posts, that, look, we, of course, hate Russia, but we hate our authorities even more, and here they have such dualism, because wartime, by the way, they put it correctly, wartime they act as marauders, they rob the elderly, women, children, they rob the future, well, of Ukraine. Finally, it has reached these obsessed ones, who are some truly ideological Ukrainian nationalists, that this is simply a big embezzlement business project, they are not going to make any prosperous country, tolerant, inclusive, well. And if you listen to the advice they give to the Ukrainian people, but we here in Belarus are just tired of being in a state of shock, I imagine in what state Ukrainians are. You’ve probably been discussing all week the advice of this Kuleba [Dmytro Kuleba, Foreign Minister], who, well, advised using these imitators, vibrators to wrap yourself to keep warm, or insert them inside, I don’t know, of course, users wrote. I’d like instructions, if not from Kuleba’s wife, then at least from Kuleba, here. But this shows, this is a very important marker, it shows how they treat, how they treat, yes, people. Here, even take this very, this scoundrel Kuleba, yes, says, sit in restaurants more often. Remember, you know, it immediately reminded me of Marie Antoinette, yes, “why are they protesting? So there’s no bread? Well, let them eat cake,” here. It seems she didn’t say that, well that’s how it is. Well yes, okay, yes, in such mythology, yes, but it says a lot. And so Kuleba, so eat in restaurants, and this says, so warm yourselves with vibrators. Well, you understand, who do they consider all of you, Ukrainians, and something must be done about this, this must somehow be ended.
But probably, for Ukraine, it will be an option, probably a tough one, if the Russian army ends it. Probably, it would still be better if the Ukrainian political class, we keep harping on this, sorry, for a year now, I harp, and you on air have been talking for four years. If maybe even Ukrainians themselves came to their senses, took up their minds, created some kind of government of national trust and tried to work out a full-fledged roadmap. Because this group that is now sitting in Abu Dhabi, yes, even if they with their meager minds come to the necessity of an energy truce, well sorry, we know why they are doing this. In order to get a respite, soon the cold will subside, well, get new weapons, get new tranches from these 800-700 billion euros that Ursula [von der Leyen] approved again and continue the war. They are still not aimed at a full-fledged peaceful track and at creating a comfortable state on the territory of Ukraine.
Well, look, if we take your logic, which you laid out above, then everything is going towards a withdrawal from the Donbas, then some pause, re-election and a referendum. And then further there will be, well the people must vote, will there be war, won’t there be war, but here exactly this mechanism will kick in, that here you also have, as if, carrots, therefore, look, there, in short, they will start stealing not for weapons, but for restoration, well conditionally, yes. As is obvious.
And, well, by the way, there are, there are radical differences, I can’t say that I agree with this, yes, but there are also such direct elements of some, yes, a certain similarity, they show photos of young Putin and young Budanov. Well, like, also from the special services, yes, like, look, now here you go,
This response was/is AI-generated by Deepseek for reference only, directly from the video.
Core SummaryThe expert, Yuri Voskresensky, argues that the war in Ukraine will continue through 2026, and no fundamental peace is on the horizon. He posits that events are being managed by external, global players with a broader plan that is not fully transparent. The immediate negotiations in Abu Dhabi are just one tactical move in this larger, protracted conflict.
Key Arguments and Predictions:
War is Set to Continue:
Budgets for 2026 are set, and weapons keep flowing. While Russia makes tactical gains, there is no imminent "breaking" of the Ukrainian army.
He dismisses the idea of a strategic Russian defeat or a sudden Ukrainian collapse, stating the conflict is in a phase of "tactical initiative."
The Abu Dhabi Negotiations are Tactical, Not Strategic:
The talks are a "Win-Win" for Russia and a "Lose-Lose" for Ukraine, from his perspective.
He sees two possible, cynical outcomes from the talks, both favoring Russia:
No Deal: The war continues, and Russia escalates strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure to cause civilian collapse, making it easier to conduct intelligence operations.
A Small Deal (Energy Truce / Withdrawal from Donbas): This would be a Russian victory. An energy truce stops Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure. A withdrawal from Donbas would politically destroy Zelensky and be a major concession.
The Hidden Russian Strategy (The "Key" to the Puzzle):
Voskresensky claims the real Russian goal presented in Abu Dhabi is a sequenced plan to give Zelensky a political off-ramp and create a "legitimate" Ukrainian partner for future talks.
The alleged sequence is:
Ukraine withdraws troops from Donbas.
Russia temporarily (30-60 days) halts hostilities.
Ukraine cancels martial law and holds elections/referendums, giving a new leader (or Zelensky) "legitimacy."
Crucially: With a "legitimate" government in place, Russia would then negotiate from a position where it considers Donbas, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia as already part of Russia. The war's ultimate goals of "demilitarization and denazification" remain.
Geopolitical Context (U.S. & Europe):
He mocks European leaders as weak and degraded, applauding even when insulted by Trump and Zelensky.
He praises Trump for disrupting the Western-led world order and views the new, Trump-proposed "Council of Peace" as a potential future replacement for the UN, where Belarus (and Russia) have a seat at the table.
He argues Zelensky's harsh criticism of Europe is an act of desperation, noting massive corruption is crippling Ukraine from within.
Belarusian Perspective:
He strongly defends Belarus's sovereignty, its alliance with Russia, and the stationing of Russian tactical nuclear weapons ("Oreshnik") as necessary for its defense.
He frames Belarus's 2020 protests as a Western-backed attempt to install a puppet regime that would have dragged Belarus into war with Russia. He sees the current government's stability as having saved the country from this fate.The One, Simple Message:
“The war is a managed, protracted conflict driven by larger global forces. There will be no real peace in 2026, only tactical pauses or localized deals (like a potential energy truce) that serve the long-term strategic goals of the major players, particularly Russia. Ukraine’s current leadership is a corrupt puppet, and true resolution will require a new, ‘legitimate’ government in Kyiv that acknowledges Russia’s gains and security interests.”
In essence: Don’t expect peace from Abu Dhabi. Expect calibrated, tactical maneuvers within a longer, wider war whose endgame is still being written by powers above the battlefield.
So it was a clickbait Title:
The Real Message vs. The Clickbait:
- Clickbait Title: Implies a sudden, dramatic turning point driven by Trump, leading to imminent peace through Ukrainian surrender/collapse.
- Expert’s Actual Analysis: Describes a protracted, managed conflict with no near-term peace. Any tactical moves (withdrawal, truce) are just steps in a long-term Russian strategy to achieve its maximalist goals (demilitarization, denazification, recognition of annexed territories), all while global power dynamics shift with Trump’s return.
The title takes a complex, pessimistic analysis about a prolonged war and repackages it as a sensational, triumphant headline about a quick peace deal. It’s designed to generate clicks by promising a shocking conclusion that the content itself explicitly rejects. You correctly identified the core message as singular and simple—“the war continues, managed by larger forces”—which the clickbait title completely inverts.